fourier_extrapolator_of_price

Author: gpwr
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fourier_extrapolator_of_price
//+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
//|                                                    Fourier_Extrapolator_of_Price.mq5 |
//|                                                                 Copyright 2010, gpwr |
//+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
#property copyright "gpwr"
#property version   "1.00"
#property description "Extrapolation of open prices by trigonometric (multitone) model"
#property indicator_chart_window
#property indicator_buffers 2
#property indicator_plots   2
//--- future model outputs
#property indicator_label1  "Modeled future"
#property indicator_type1   DRAW_LINE
#property indicator_color1  Red
#property indicator_style1  STYLE_SOLID
#property indicator_width1  1
//--- past model outputs
#property indicator_label2  "Modeled past"
#property indicator_type2   DRAW_LINE
#property indicator_color2  Blue
#property indicator_style2  STYLE_SOLID
#property indicator_width2  1

//Global constants
#define pi 3.141592653589793238462643383279502884197169399375105820974944592

//===================================== INPUTS ===========================================
input int    Npast   =300; // # of past bars, to which trigonometric series is fitted
input int    Nfut    =50;  // # of predicted future bars
input int    Nharm   =20;  // # of harmonics in model
input double FreqTOL =0.00001; // Tolerance of frequency calculations

// Global variables
int N;

// Indicator buffers
double ym[],xm[];

// Custom indicator initialization function ---------------------------------------------+
void OnInit()
{
// Initialize global variables
   N=MathMax(Npast,Nfut+1);
   
// Map indicator buffers
   ArraySetAsSeries(xm,true);
   ArraySetAsSeries(ym,true);
   SetIndexBuffer(0,ym,INDICATOR_DATA);
   SetIndexBuffer(1,xm,INDICATOR_DATA);
   IndicatorSetInteger(INDICATOR_DIGITS,_Digits);
   IndicatorSetString(INDICATOR_SHORTNAME,"Fourier("+string(Npast)+")");
   PlotIndexSetInteger(0,PLOT_SHIFT,Nfut);
}

//====================================== MAIN ============================================
int OnCalculate(const int rates_total,
                const int prev_calculated,
                const datetime& Time[],
                const double& Open[],
                const double& High[],
                const double& Low[],
                const double& Close[],
                const long& tick_volume[],
                const long& volume[],
                const int& spread[])
{
// Check for insufficient data
   if(rates_total<Npast)
   {
      Print("Error: not enough bars in history!");
      return(0);
   }

// Initialize indicator buffers to EMPTY_VALUE
   ArrayInitialize(xm,EMPTY_VALUE);
   ArrayInitialize(ym,EMPTY_VALUE);
   
// Make all prices available
   MqlRates rates[];
   ArraySetAsSeries(rates,true);
   if(CopyRates(NULL,0,0,Npast,rates)<=0) return(0);

// Main cycle ---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
   // Prepare input data
   double x[];
   ArrayResize(x,Npast);
   double av=0;
   for(int i=0;i<Npast;i++)
   {
      x[i]=rates[i].open;
      av+=x[i];
   }
   av/=Npast;
   
   // Initialize model outputs
   for(int i=0;i<N;i++)
   {
      xm[i]=av;
      if(i<=Nfut) ym[i]=av;
   }

   // Fit trigonometric model and calculate predictions
   for(int harm=1;harm<=Nharm;harm++)
   {
      double w,m,a,b;
      Freq(x,Npast,w,m,a,b);
      for(int i=0;i<N;i++) 
      {
         xm[i]+=m+a*MathCos(w*i)+b*MathSin(w*i);
         if(i<=Nfut) ym[Nfut-i]+=m+a*MathCos(w*i)-b*MathSin(w*i);
      }         
   }
   
   return(rates_total);
}
//==================================== FUNCTIONS =========================================
// Quinn and Fernandes algorithm for finding frequency ----------------------------------+
void Freq(double& x[],int n,double& w,double& m,double& a,double& b)
{
   double z[];
   ArrayResize(z,n);
   double alpha=0.0;
   double beta=2.0;
   z[0]=x[0]-xm[0];
   while(MathAbs(alpha-beta)>FreqTOL)
   {
      alpha=beta;
      z[1]=x[1]-xm[1]+alpha*z[0];
      double num=z[0]*z[1];
      double den=z[0]*z[0];
      for(int i=2;i<n;i++)
      {
         z[i]=x[i]-xm[i]+alpha*z[i-1]-z[i-2];
         num+=z[i-1]*(z[i]+z[i-2]);
         den+=z[i-1]*z[i-1];
      }
      beta=num/den;
   }
   w=MathArccos(beta/2.0);
   TrigFit(x,n,w,m,a,b);
}

// Least-squares fitting of trigonometric series ----------------------------------------+
void TrigFit(double& x[],int n,double w,double& m,double& a,double& b)
{
   double Sc =0.0;
   double Ss =0.0;
   double Scc=0.0;
   double Sss=0.0;
   double Scs=0.0;
   double Sx =0.0;
   double Sxc=0.0;
   double Sxs=0.0;
   for(int i=0;i<n;i++)
   {
      double c=MathCos(w*i);
      double s=MathSin(w*i);
      double dx=x[i]-xm[i];
      Sc +=c;
      Ss +=s;
      Scc+=c*c;
      Sss+=s*s;
      Scs+=c*s;
      Sx +=dx;
      Sxc+=dx*c;
      Sxs+=dx*s;
   }
   Sc /=n;
   Ss /=n;
   Scc/=n;
   Sss/=n;
   Scs/=n;
   Sx /=n;
   Sxc/=n;
   Sxs/=n;
   if(w==0.0)
   {
      m=Sx;
      a=0.0;
      b=0.0;
   }
   else
   {
      // calculating a, b, and m
      double den=MathPow(Scs-Sc*Ss,2)-(Scc-Sc*Sc)*(Sss-Ss*Ss);
      a=((Sxs-Sx*Ss)*(Scs-Sc*Ss)-(Sxc-Sx*Sc)*(Sss-Ss*Ss))/den;
      b=((Sxc-Sx*Sc)*(Scs-Sc*Ss)-(Sxs-Sx*Ss)*(Scc-Sc*Sc))/den;
      m=Sx-a*Sc-b*Ss;
   }
}

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